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Will AI replace Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing Officers?

Conduct hearings to recommend or make decisions on claims concerning government programs or other government-related matters. The percentage shown is a task-exposure model, not a prediction of certain job loss.

O*NET 30.3 · 23-1021.00 · modeled exposure, not guaranteed job loss
MODERATE TASK EXPOSURE
48%
Estimated share of representative tasks exposed to current AI capabilities.
Last updatedAugust 20, 2026
Evidence confidenceMedium
Browse this risk tierModerate exposure jobs →
Task automation shareⓘ
48%Automatable
Automatable48%
Augmentable26%
Hard to automate26%
Based on analysis of representative responsibilities and current AI capability maturity.
Category#
Finance & Legal
Back office / Ops
Modeled pay midpoint$
$70,700/yr
Directional estimate — verify locally
Time until impact⌁
2–4 years
Earliest 2027 · widespread 2029–2031
Task-level replaceability ⓘ
Representative tasks ranked from highest to lowest AI exposure.
◇Determine existence and amount of liability according to current laws, administrative and judicial precedents, and available evidence.58%
⚙Monitor and direct the activities of trials and hearings to ensure that they are conducted fairly and that courts administer justice while safeguarding the legal rights of all involved parties.49%
▥Prepare written opinions and decisions.39%
✦Licensed accountability and complex judgment18%
✦Interpreting unusual, high-stakes cases14%
Impact timeline ⓘ
How AI assistance may move from early support to wider adoption.
2027Next2029–2031
Early impactAI begins supporting determine existence and amount of liability according to current laws, administrative and judicial precedents, and available evidence..
Role reshapingRepeatable tasks become faster and more automated.
Wider adoptionThe role centers more on licensed accountability and complex judgment.
2–4 yearsdirectional confidence window
HOW AI CHANGES THIS JOBtyping the logic in plain English
01>Start with the real work done by Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing Officers.
02>AI can help with: Determine existence and amount of liability according to current laws, administrative and judicial precedents, and available evidence.
03>If a task is repetitive and easy to check, AI pressure goes up.
04>But a person is still needed for: Licensed accountability and complex judgment.
05>Likely result: AI is more likely to change this job than remove it.
06>Important: 48% is estimated task exposure—not a 48% chance of losing the job.
What AI can do
Determine existence and amount of liability according to current laws, administrative and judicial precedents, and available evidence.MEDIUM
Monitor and direct the activities of trials and hearings to ensure that they are conducted fairly and that courts administer justice while safeguarding the legal rights of all involved parties.MEDIUM
Prepare written opinions and decisions.LOW MATCH
How estimates work →
Your human moat
◆

Licensed accountability and complex judgment

MEDIUM-HIGH

Combined with interpreting unusual, high-stakes cases, this keeps a human in the loop.

Strength7.9
Similar-role comparison
RoleRisk
Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing Officers48%
Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers47%
Lawyers50%
Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates46%
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Why this score?

✓The model evaluates 3 representative core tasks.
✓The role mixes repeatable work with human judgment.
✓Occupation and task language comes from O*NET 30.3.
✓The strongest human advantage is licensed accountability and complex judgment.
Research basis

O*NET 30.3 occupation tasks plus the ILO 2025 exposure framework. Scores are directional estimates.

Read ILO research →
Data: O*NET 30.3 · Model framework: ILO 2025O*NET 23-1021.00Share report
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Sources for this report

Official occupation tasks; timeline remains uncertain Scores are directional estimates and sources do not endorse this site’s exact percentage.

O*NET 23-1021.00 occupation profile ↗ILO Generative AI and Jobs 2025 ↗Scoring methodology →

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